https://www.bfm.my/content/podcast/is-the-ai-fairy-tale-over
As the year comes to a close, the selling on AI stocks remains unabated. We ask Tony Nash, CEO, Complete Intelligence, if it’s time to sell tech names that have benefitted from this theme. We also ask about the outlook of oil for 2026 and if this commodity’s fortune can be reversed.
https://www.bfm.my/content/podcast/fed-rate-cut-expectations-rise-markets-react
With reports that markets are pricing in an 89% chance that the US Federal Reserve may cut rates when they meet next week, saw equities advancing. Tony Nash, CEO of Complete Intelligence, shares his insights into what to look out for as raft of economic data was released, including the ADP jobs report, the S&P PMI index and the ISM Services PMI.
The Fed cut rates last week, but the market’s reaction has been a vote of “no confidence.” Instead of a celebration, we are seeing a dangerous divergence. Long-term yields are rising (rejecting the cut), while Financials, which usually love a steepening yield curve, are falling. Could we read this as the December Fed Put being too small? Markets don’t want half measures and this signals that investors are now pricing in credit risk over growth. Amidst this warning, capital is likely retreating to a tried-and-true growth trade: a tactical bounce in NVIDIA.
CI Markets forecasts the 10-Year Treasury yield to rise this week. This is the engine of the current volatility. By pushing yields higher immediately after a rate cut, the bond market may be signaling that it sees sticky inflation, but markets seem to be wanting more from the Fed. This “bear steepening” is tightening financial conditions for the real economy, effectively undoing the Fed’s stimulus before it even hits the system.
This is the key “tell.” Typically, banks rally when the Fed cuts and long rates rise (a steepening curve). However, CI Markets forecasts Financials (XLF) to trend lower. When banks sell off despite a more accommodative rate environment, it means the market is fearful of credit quality and a slowing economy. Investors are betting that higher long-term borrowing costs will hurt borrowers more than they help bank margins.
With the real economy (XLF) flashing red and bonds (TNX) selling off, liquidity is flowing back to the most liquid, high-growth asset it can find. CI Markets forecasts a move higher for NVIDIA (NVDA). This is not a broad risk-on rally; it is a defensive concentration. Investors will likely hide in “fortress AI,” betting that NVIDIA’s secular growth can outrun the cyclical headwinds dragging down the rest of the market.
The signal is for defensive selectivity. The simultaneous rise in yields (TNX) and fall in financials (XLF) is a loud warning that the “Fed Put” has been too small and has lost its potency to lift the real economy. In this environment, the market is bifurcating: rejecting cyclical risk while crowding into tactical tech winners like NVDA. Caution is warranted.
The content presented in this note is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, financial, or trading advice. This analysis is generated from the output of Complete Intelligence’s proprietary artificial intelligence platform and does not constitute a personal recommendation. You should not base any investment decision solely on this material. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Complete Intelligence is not liable for any actions taken based on the information provided herein.
https://www.bfm.my/content/podcast/nvidia-delivers-all-is-good-in-the-tech-space
Nvidia results were better than expected, much to the relief of markets as there were concerns over an AI bubble. We ask Tony Nash, CEO, Complete Intelligence for his first impressions of the results whilst asking if there are other tech names like Broadcom and Coreweave are also buy ideas.
The key takeaway this week is the market’s full-throated “risk-on” rally, ignited by a cooler-than-expected inflation report. This has solidified expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut, sending tech stocks soaring and bond yields falling. The rally is supported by both this Fed tailwind and surprisingly strong corporate earnings.
The CI Markets platform forecasts a positive trend for the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 (NDX). This sector is the primary beneficiary of the new interest rate outlook, as lower rates boost the valuations of growth stocks. With the market surging into the close on Friday and a heavy slate of major tech earnings this week, all eyes are on the NDX to lead the market higher.
This rally is not just about rate-sensitive tech. The CI Markets platform also forecasts a positive trend for Ford (F), which soared over 12% on Friday after posting strong earnings. This shows that the rally is also being driven by fundamental corporate strength. Investor confidence in the health of the U.S. consumer and manufacturing sector is clearly growing, providing a solid foundation for the market’s new highs.
CI Markets forecasts a move lower for the 10-Year Treasury Note Yield (TNX). This is the underlying engine for the entire equity rally. The bond market’s decisive reaction to last week’s tame inflation data—pushing yields down—is the mechanism that makes stocks more attractive. This forecast confirms the market’s strong conviction that the Fed has a clear path to cut rates.
The Federal Reserve has effectively given investors a green light. The alignment of falling bond yields (TNX), a surging tech sector (NDX), and fundamental strength in the real economy (F) creates a powerful bullish narrative. The market is no longer pricing in fear; it is actively pricing in a new cycle of growth, backed by both strong corporate performance and expected monetary easing.
The content presented in this note is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, financial, or trading advice. This analysis is generated from the output of Complete Intelligence’s proprietary artificial intelligence platform and does not constitute a personal recommendation. You should not base any investment decision solely on this material. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Complete Intelligence is not liable for any actions taken based on the information provided herein.
The key takeaway this week is the test of the market’s conviction. While the Federal Reserve’s dovish rate cut provided a powerful bullish catalyst, a rally that faded into Friday’s close suggests investor hesitation. The week ahead will reveal if the market can overcome this consolidation and build sustained momentum on the new, more favorable interest rate environment.
The Fed’s rate cut is a massive tailwind for the tech-heavy NASDAQ. However, a weak close on Friday after an initial surge suggests some investors were quick to take profits. This sets up a crucial test for the week ahead: can the market look past the short-term consolidation and build on the fundamental support of lower rates? The CI Markets platform’s strong positive forecast suggests that it can, and that the path of least resistance for tech is now higher.
As a high-beta leader in the AI space, NVIDIA is at the epicenter of this test. A dovish Fed is a green light for investors to chase the most powerful growth stories, and few are as compelling as the AI narrative. The CI Markets platform’s strong upward forecast indicates that despite any market-wide profit-taking on Friday, the powerful AI theme, now supercharged by lower rate expectations, is expected to attract significant new capital and reassert its leadership.
The positive forecast for the S&P 500 is critical because it confirms the rally is not just a speculative tech phenomenon. It shows that investors believe the Fed’s dovish turn is a positive for the entire economy, reducing recession fears and supporting corporate earnings across the board. The strength in the broad market suggests the rally has a solid foundation and is not just built on a handful of high-flying tech names.
The Federal Reserve has provided the fuel for a significant market rally. The immediate hesitation seen late Friday, however, means the rally’s durability is now being tested. The positive forecasts for both the broad market and its technology leaders suggest that after a brief consolidation, the market has the fundamental support it needs to overcome this caution and continue its upward trend.
The content presented in this note is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, financial, or trading advice. This analysis is generated from the output of Complete Intelligence’s proprietary artificial intelligence platform and does not constitute a personal recommendation. You should not base any investment decision solely on this material. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Complete Intelligence is not liable for any actions taken based on the information provided herein.