{"id":41069,"date":"2021-01-31T18:30:57","date_gmt":"2021-02-01T00:30:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/completeintel.com\/?p=41069"},"modified":"2021-01-31T18:30:57","modified_gmt":"2021-02-01T00:30:57","slug":"ai-for-supply-chain-forecasting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/completeintel.com\/ci-markets-weekly\/ai-for-supply-chain-forecasting\/","title":{"rendered":"AI for Supply Chain Forecasting and Proactive Planning"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>This article originally published at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/pulse\/ai-supply-chain-forecasting-cas-milner\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/pulse\/ai-supply-chain-forecasting-cas-milner\/\u00a0<\/a>on January 27, 2021. It talks about one of the CFO<span data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;cfo pain points&quot;}\" data-sheets-userformat=\"{&quot;2&quot;:513,&quot;3&quot;:{&quot;1&quot;:0},&quot;12&quot;:0}\">\u00a0pain points, which is planning.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>How much confidence do you have in traditional price forecasts for the components of your supply chain? Your answer is probably &#8220;not much&#8221;, if you have been in business for over a decade &#8212; or even just during 2020! But AI can do better &#8212; much better &#8212; at price forecasting than the standard statistical technique of linear regression most of us learned in college.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/feed\/#\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Complete Intelligence<\/a>\u00a0has built a comprehensive platform for making very accurate supply chain ingredient forecasts. The <span data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;forecasting saas&quot;}\" data-sheets-userformat=\"{&quot;2&quot;:513,&quot;3&quot;:{&quot;1&quot;:0},&quot;12&quot;:0}\">forecasting Saas<\/span>\u00a0have done the hard work of aggregating (and cleaning!) billions of data points from many high-quality sources, including import\/export trade data, all feeding the AI algorithm engines to produce amazingly accurate predictions. You should follow the postings of\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/feed\/#\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tony Nash<\/a>\u00a0, for his economic commentary based on many forecasts for exchange rates, basic commodities, and supply chain components important for world economies and local business operations.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Many companies have antiquated, inaccurate processes for forecasting costs in their supply chain. Their standard statistical forecasting is usually done with linear regression \u2013 a straight-line projection of historical costs, into the future.\u00a0But the price behavior of most commodities is not linear, it is non-linear.\u00a0Artificial intelligence algorithms are especially suited to making accurate forecasts using non-linear data, which is why they are increasingly applied to <span data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;dynamic financial forecasting&quot;}\" data-sheets-userformat=\"{&quot;2&quot;:513,&quot;3&quot;:{&quot;1&quot;:0},&quot;12&quot;:0}\">dynamic financial forecasting<\/span>.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Many industries are especially sensitive to supply costs:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Manufacturing (electronics, energy equipment, automotive, health supplies, pharmaceuticals, metals, plastics, papers)<\/li>\n<li>Extraction operations (oil and gas, forestry, mining)<\/li>\n<li>Services (transportation, shipping, hospitality, food and beverage)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Supply chain cost planning is a core process, and AI tools are destined to become key ingredients, deeply embedded in operations.\u00a0 They enable automation of <span data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;proactive planning&quot;}\" data-sheets-userformat=\"{&quot;2&quot;:513,&quot;3&quot;:{&quot;1&quot;:0},&quot;12&quot;:0}\">proactive planning<\/span> and monitoring to digitally transform the organization.\u00a0The licensing cost for these <span data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;financial forecasting tool&quot;}\" data-sheets-userformat=\"{&quot;2&quot;:513,&quot;3&quot;:{&quot;1&quot;:0},&quot;12&quot;:0}\">financial forecasting tools<\/span>\u00a0or <span data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;financial projection software&quot;}\" data-sheets-userformat=\"{&quot;2&quot;:513,&quot;3&quot;:{&quot;1&quot;:0},&quot;12&quot;:0}\">financial projection software\u00a0<\/span>is a small fraction of the operations cost \u2013 and potential savings. It is also worth noting that having reliable forecasts of future price trends can create a rational basis for supplier negotiations. S<span data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;simplify financial planning&quot;}\" data-sheets-userformat=\"{&quot;2&quot;:513,&quot;3&quot;:{&quot;1&quot;:0},&quot;12&quot;:0}\">implify financial planning with AI and machine learning.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m excited about the AI-driven digital transformation of micro-economic forecasting, and would eagerly discuss the benefits with you.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>#SupplyChain #AI #EconomicForecasting<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This article originally published at https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/pulse\/ai-supply-chain-forecasting-cas-milner\/\u00a0on January 27, 2021. It talks about one of the CFO\u00a0pain points, which is planning. &nbsp; &nbsp; How much confidence do you have in traditional price forecasts for the components of your supply chain? Your answer is probably &#8220;not much&#8221;, if you have been in business for over a decade [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41069","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news-articles-print-web"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/completeintel.com\/ci-markets-weekly\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41069","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/completeintel.com\/ci-markets-weekly\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/completeintel.com\/ci-markets-weekly\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/completeintel.com\/ci-markets-weekly\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/completeintel.com\/ci-markets-weekly\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41069"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/completeintel.com\/ci-markets-weekly\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41069\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/completeintel.com\/ci-markets-weekly\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41069"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/completeintel.com\/ci-markets-weekly\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41069"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/completeintel.com\/ci-markets-weekly\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41069"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}