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Weekly Outlook: Nov 3, 2025

Weekly Outlook: Nov 3, 2025

The key takeaway this week is the market’s “pro-trade” rally, unlocked by a constructive week of diplomacy. The successful Trump-Xi and Trump-Takaichi meetings are signaling a new phase of global growth, which is fueling a rally in Japanese equities. This new trade is also increasing the demand for US Dollars to facilitate it, strengthening the DXY.

The Dollar Rises on Pro-Trade Demand

The CI Markets platform forecasts a move higher for the US Dollar Index (DXY). This is not a “risk-off” signal, but a “pro-trade” one. A detente between the US and its large trading partners (China and Japan) is set to increase global trade. As that trade is primarily settled in dollars, we are seeing an increased demand for the currency, pushing its value higher.

Japanese Equities Rally on Alliance

The platform forecasts a move higher for Japan’s Nikkei 225 index (N225). This is a direct, positive reaction to the successful Trump-Takaichi meeting. The strengthening of the US-Japan alliance and new agreements on economic security are being seen as a major tailwind for the Japanese economy, causing global investors to buy Japanese stocks.

Oil Rises on Supply Shock

CI Markets also forecasts a move higher for crude oil (CL=F). This trend is running counter to the main pro-trade narrative and is driven by a separate, supply-side force. The noose is tightening on Russian crude supplies as US sanctions begin to stick, pulling barrels off the market and creating an energy squeeze even as the global growth story improves.

Conclusion

The market is in a “pro-trade” rally, but it must also contend with an unrelated energy shock. The constructive geopolitical meetings are fueling optimism, which is seen in the rising Nikkei 225. This new trade activity is, in turn, driving up demand for the US Dollar. The wildcard remains crude oil, which is rising on its own supply-side factors and adding a complicated inflationary pressure to the new growth story.

The content presented in this note is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, financial, or trading advice. This analysis is generated from the output of Complete Intelligence’s proprietary artificial intelligence platform and does not constitute a personal recommendation. You should not base any investment decision solely on this material. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Complete Intelligence is not liable for any actions taken based on the information provided herein.

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Weekly Outlook: October 13, 2025

Weekly Outlook: October 13, 2025

The market’s narrative was abruptly reset late Friday by a sudden escalation in US-China trade tensions, triggering a classic risk-off shock. This is causing investors to aggressively sell speculative assets like Bitcoin and rotate into traditional safe havens such as gold. The direct impact is also being seen in the foreign exchange market, with the Chinese Yuan weakening under the new pressure.

Speculative Assets Feel the Shock

The CI Markets platform forecasts a negative trend for Bitcoin, a view reinforced by the sharp selloff seen after hours on Friday. As the market’s primary barometer for risk appetite, Bitcoin was one of the first assets to be sold as investors reacted to the new geopolitical uncertainty. This move shows a clear and immediate reduction in speculative fervor as capital seeks to reduce exposure to the most volatile assets.

The Flight to Traditional Havens

Confirming the risk-off mood, the forecast for gold is positive. This is the other side of the rotation away from risk. As investors exit speculative assets, they are moving capital into traditional safe havens that are perceived to hold their value during times of geopolitical turmoil. The CI Markets platform’s forecast for a move higher in gold is a classic reaction to the kind of US-China trade uncertainty that emerged late last week.

China’s Currency Reflects New Pressure

The platform forecasts an upward move for the US Dollar / Chinese Yuan currency pair, indicating a weakening of the Yuan. This is the most direct financial market reflection of the renewed trade tensions. A weaker Yuan signals that the market is pricing in a negative economic impact on China as a result of the new US rhetoric, making it a crucial indicator of how the geopolitical situation is evolving.

The content presented in this note is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, financial, or trading advice. This analysis is generated from the output of Complete Intelligence’s proprietary artificial intelligence platform and does not constitute a personal recommendation. You should not base any investment decision solely on this material. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Complete Intelligence is not liable for any actions taken based on the information provided herein.