Weekly Outlook: Feb 23, 2026
Major retailers are suing the US government for tariff relief. We analyze the rotation into Target (TGT), the strengthening “Tariff Wall” in the Dollar (DXY), and the inflationary pressure on Treasuries (TLT).
Weekly, data-driven analysis of the key assets and macroeconomic themes shaping global markets, powered by the Complete Intelligence artificial intelligence platform, CI Markets.
Major retailers are suing the US government for tariff relief. We analyze the rotation into Target (TGT), the strengthening “Tariff Wall” in the Dollar (DXY), and the inflationary pressure on Treasuries (TLT).
As the Nasdaq cools and the Dow hits 50,000, we analyze the rotation into Walmart (WMT), the softening of Treasury yields (TNX), and the bullish momentum in Industrials (XLI).
The “Warsh Pivot” meets the AI Capex cycle. We analyze the bounce in Nvidia (NVDA), the energy security bid in XLE, and the defensive rotation into Consumer Staples (XLP) as markets find a floor.
The Warsh nomination has cooled the Gold and Bitcoin fever. We analyze the shift to “Stability” in Treasuries, the Alphabet (GOOGL) earnings bid, and the floor under Crude Oil.
A “Triple Shock” of China’s military purge, Japan’s bond crisis, and US unrest has triggered a Dollar breakdown. We analyze the rotation into Semiconductors (SMH), Silver (SLV), and Real Estate (XLRE).
Policy shock hits banks. CI Markets forecasts a bullish rotation into Nasdaq ($QQQ) and Consumer Staples ($XLP), with the US Dollar ($DXY) drifting moderately higher on safety flows.
The geopolitical dust has settled, but the data storm is just beginning. As Bank Earnings and CPI arrive, we forecast a rotation into Financials ($XLF), Small Caps ($IWM), and a return to Gold ($GC=F).
The US operation in Venezuela and a critical “Jobs Week” set the stage for a volatile 2026 open. We analyze the rotation into Energy Stocks (XLE), the Bitcoin (BTC) catch-up trade, and the pressure on Treasuries (TLT).
Silver hit our targets faster than expected over the holiday weekend, proving the “Hard Asset” thesis is alive and well. But smart money doesn’t chase yesterday’s trade. As the dust settles on the metals volatility, we analyze the rotation into the next leg of the cycle: Crude Oil and Copper.
Our Dec 22, 2025 forecast shows the precious metals rally is widening. We analyze how the established strength in Gold (GC=F) and Silver (SLV) is now igniting a “catch-up” trade in Emerging Markets (EEM).
Find out more about our capital markets forecasting products: