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Audio and Podcasts

MONEY TALK – Friday 22 August 2025

MONEY TALK - Friday 22 August 2025

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/peter-lewis-money-talk-friday-22-august-2025/id1677731892?i=1000723028166URL

On Friday’s “Money Talk” podcast, Peter Lewis is joined by Tony Nash, the Founder of Complete Intelligence, and Francis Lun, the CEO of GEO Securities.

Topics: Jerome Powell’s speech Jackson Hole – to cut or not to cut, the US & EU role in Ukraine, and tech stock valuations.

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Newsletter

Weekly Outlook: Aug 18, 2025

The market is currently suffering from a fractured personality. There is no single, unifying trend. Instead, we are witnessing three distinct investor behaviors play out simultaneously, a flight from risk, a rotation into safety, and a speculative hunt for growth. This week, we examine three assets that perfectly capture this complex and indecisive environment.

The Flight from Chinese Equities

The sharp downward forecast for Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index clearly illustrates the “flight from risk” mentality. Investor confidence in Chinese markets is deteriorating rapidly. This pessimism is driven by persistent troubles in China’s property sector and a growing belief that Beijing’s stimulus measures are not enough to restore economic momentum. For global investors, the region is increasingly seen as a source of uncertainty to be avoided.

Investors Seek Shelter in Staples

While investors are selling off international assets, they are not abandoning the market entirely. Instead, many are seeking shelter in defensive sectors, with our models showing stable gains for Consumer Staples. This rotation into companies that sell essential goods like food and household products is a classic defensive move. It shows that investors are prioritizing capital preservation and earnings stability over growth in the face of economic uncertainty.

The Hunt for Growth Tries to Defy the Trend

In stark contrast to the cautious mood, a speculative hunt for growth continues in specific pockets of the market, tech in particular. This is a story driven not by broad economic optimism, but by a powerful narrative centered on artificial intelligence. It shows that a compelling can still attract significant capital, but Tech will continue to face headwinds this week.

Conclusion

The key takeaway this week is that “the market” is not one thing. We are seeing a clear fracture in investor sentiment, leading to a simultaneous retreat from risk, a rotation into safety, and a speculative chase for growth. This lack of a unified direction suggests a period of heightened volatility and underscores the need for a highly selective approach, as broad market trends offer little guidance.


The content presented in this note is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, financial, or trading advice. This analysis is generated from the output of Complete Intelligence’s proprietary artificial intelligence platform and does not constitute a personal recommendation. You should not base any investment decision solely on this material. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Complete Intelligence is not liable for any actions taken based on the information provided herein.

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Audio and Podcasts

Will The Fed Turn Dovish Or Hawkish In September?

Will The Fed Turn Dovish Or Hawkish In September?

https://www.bfm.my/content/podcast/will-the-fed-turn-dovish-or-hawkish-in-september

Although markets have priced in Federal Reserve rate cuts in September, is this a foregone conclusion? Tony Nash of Complete Intelligence gives a note of caution on expectations, and weighs in on other market trends.

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Corporate Finance Blog

10 Tips for Agile Auditing and Budgeting in 2026

10 Tips for Agile Auditing and Budgeting in 2026

Actionable insights for to modernize Corporate Finance without creating chaos.

Executive Summary

  • Replace annual plans with rolling forecasts and scenario analysis for agility.
  • Centralize budget and audit data for a single source of truth.
  • Automate data integration and reconciliation to eliminate manual risk.
  • Make variance analysis a proactive discipline.
  • Increase awareness of operational drivers without assuming causality.
  • Leverage AI-powered audit coverage for stronger controls and risk detection.
  • Treat budgeting as a living process that adapts continuously to the business.

Dynamic, integrated processes in 2026

As the second half of 2025 progresses, finance leaders are already laying the groundwork for the 2026 budget process. This critical period is the ideal time for CFOs, controllers, and FP&A teams to move beyond outdated methods. The traditional model of static annual plans, disconnected data, and reactive audits is no longer sufficient to navigate market volatility and rising compliance demands.

This guide provides ten actionable tips designed to help you modernize your financial planning. By adopting rolling forecasts, centralizing data, and leveraging AI, you can build a more dynamic, integrated, and strategic budget process for 2026. Put these practices into motion now to reduce manual work, strengthen controls, and sharpen your company’s decision-making for the year ahead.

  1. Adopt Rolling Forecasts for Greater Agility
    Static annual budgets can quickly become outdated. Market changes like inflation shifts, demand surges, or supply disruptions can make them irrelevant. Rolling forecasts allow finance teams to adapt as conditions change. This flexibility improves resource allocation and supports faster, better-informed decisions.

  2. Create a Single Source of Truth (SSoT) for Financial Data
    Budgeting and auditing slow down when data is scattered across systems. Create one environment where actuals, forecasts, and audit results are stored and updated in real time. Connect your ERP, payroll, and GL feeds directly. This eliminates version control problems and ensures all stakeholders work from the same reliable numbers.
  1. Automate Data Collection and Reporting
    Manual data gathering wastes valuable time and increases errors. Direct integration from ERP, payroll, and GL systems into your planning and audit tools improves data accuracy. Real-time reporting allows for faster closes and frees analysts to focus on analysis instead of manual tasks.
  1. Start Simple, Then Expand Budget Reporting
    Too much complexity early in the process can discourage adoption. Begin with clear, high-level dashboards that focus on the most important metrics. Once teams are comfortable, add more detail and advanced reporting. This builds engagement and ensures data is actually used.
  1. Use AI to Handle Low-Impact Line Items, Focus Human Effort on Big Levers
    AI tools can quickly forecast most low-impact line items with accuracy. This saves your team hours of work on numbers that have little effect on results. The freed-up time can then be used to focus on the fewer, high-value items that drive revenue and cost outcomes. This targeted approach improves both speed and strategic impact.
  1. Make Variance Analysis a Weekly Discipline
    Waiting until the end of a quarter to review variances leads to missed opportunities. Weekly variance checks allow quicker interventions and better cost control. Over time, this cadence becomes a habit that strengthens financial discipline.
  1. Analyze External Drivers to Improve Forecast Accuracy
    Results are shaped by external forces such as commodity prices, exchange rates, interest rates, or competitor actions. These drivers should be tested, not assumed, to confirm their actual impact. Tools that merge external data with your financials can reveal which factors truly matter and how strong the link is. This avoids chasing noise and ensures budget and audit changes are based on evidence.

  2. Increase Awareness of Internal Drivers
    Budgets should reflect key internal factors that may influence results, such as labor hours, capacity, or seasonal demand patterns. These should be tested, not assumed, to verify their impact on performance. Linking internal metrics to financial outcomes with the right analytics helps focus attention on what truly drives change and avoid overestimating weak relationships.

  3. Integrate AI into Auditing and Forecasting for Full Coverage
    AI-powered audit tools can analyze all transactions, not just samples. They identify anomalies in real time and strengthen internal controls. On the planning side, AI forecasting instantly adjusts scenarios as new data becomes available. This gives finance leaders more control and faster insight.
  1. Make Budgeting Iterative, Not Annual
    Each budgeting cycle is a chance to improve. Capture lessons about what worked, what caused delays, and which assumptions missed the mark. Use this feedback to refine processes for the next cycle. Treat budgeting as a continuous capability that evolves with the business.

Confidently guide the business forward

The months before budget season are your opportunity to set the tone for the year ahead. By acting now, you can put in place the tools, processes, and habits that will make 2026 planning faster, more accurate, and more strategic. The goal is not just to get through the cycle. It is to turn budgeting and auditing into capabilities that actively guide the business forward.

If your team is looking to improve accuracy, reduce manual work, and surface insights sooner, it may be time to explore solutions that combine forecasting and audit automation in one workflow. The right approach will keep you in control while giving you the speed and confidence you need for the year ahead.

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Newsletter

Weekly Outlook: August 11, 2025

Weekly Outlook: August 11, 2025

After a week of broad based caution, the market appears to be entering a period of significant divergence. The monolithic “risk off” narrative is fracturing, replaced by a more complex environment where different asset classes are telling different stories. This week we explore a potential rebound in technology, a major commodity searching for a floor, and a currency trend driven by clear economic disparity.

Technology Stocks Attempt a Rebound

The tech heavy NASDAQ index is positioned for a notable rebound this week, signaling a potential shift back towards growth assets. Our models suggest that following the recent market wide pullback, investors are beginning to selectively buy into technology names, perhaps seeing value and renewed opportunity. This “dip buying” activity indicates a belief that the sector’s long term growth drivers remain intact, making it a key area to watch for signs of returning market confidence.

Crude Oil Searches for a Stable Price

Crude oil’s sharp price decline appears to be losing momentum, with our forecasts indicating a period of stabilization ahead. While concerns about a global demand slowdown continue to weigh on the market, the price has now fallen to a level that is attracting technical support. The narrative is shifting from “how far will it fall” to “where will it find a floor”. This suggests the market is now trying to balance demand fears with the reality of disciplined OPEC plus supply.

The Transatlantic Economic Divide

The U.S. dollar continues to strengthen against the Euro, a direct reflection of the widening economic divide between the two regions. Our models forecast a continued downtrend for the EURUSD pair. This is driven by the persistent economic weakness in the Eurozone, a story highlighted by recent data, compared to a more resilient U.S. economy. For currency markets, this divergence in growth trajectories is the most powerful story right now.

Conclusion

The key takeaway this week is the end of the market’s single story. A rebounding NASDAQ, a stabilizing oil price, and a falling Euro are not contradictory signals. They are evidence of a more mature, discerning market that is now differentiating between sectors, geographies, and asset classes. The path forward is no longer monolithic, requiring investors to analyze these divergent trends carefully.


The content presented in this note is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, financial, or trading advice. This analysis is generated from the output of Complete Intelligence’s proprietary artificial intelligence platform and does not constitute a personal recommendation. You should not base any investment decision solely on this material. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Complete Intelligence is not liable for any actions taken based on the information provided herein.

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Corporate Finance Blog

Rethinking Risk in Real Time, How AI Is Transforming Audit Processes

Rethinking Risk in Real Time, How AI Is Transforming Audit Processes

Financial audits look backward. They rely on samples and manual checks. Today, finance teams need real-time visibility and full data coverage. This is where intelligent process automation is changing everything.

AI tools now review every transaction, not just a few. They spot irregularities, compliance issues, and errors as they happen. This allows teams to respond quickly and reduce risk before problems grow.

The Journal of Accountancy reports that firms using audit automation are improving both speed and accuracy. AI helps auditors focus on what matters by flagging unusual patterns. This adds value without replacing people. It simply gives them better tools.

AuditFlow uses machine learning to track financial activity across systems. It catches things like duplicate payments or unusual timing in vendor transactions. Teams can act fast and stay in control.

Accounting, Organizations and Society also notes how audit automation supports stronger internal controls. Every action is logged and traceable. This makes audit prep easier and more transparent.

Audit teams that use automation shift from reaction to prevention. They spend less time digging through data and more time providing value-added services to their clients.

If you want to bring AI into your audit workflow, AuditFlow provides transaction-level analysis and learns from your data. This saves time and improves accuracy.

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Reports & Whitepapers

AuditFlow Whitepaper

The Hidden Cost of Correcting Historical Accounting Errors

Why hospitals can no longer afford spreadsheet-driven account remediation and how AI is helping mid-sized finance teams cut audit prep by 85%.

Healthcare finance teams spend too much time on manual tasks like correcting miscodings, reconciling entries, and preparing for audits with outdated tools. This white paper highlights the hidden costs:

  • 30% of finance hours spent on remediation

  • 40% of analyst time spent gathering, not analyzing data

  • Major remediations cost $0.5–3M and reduce net income by ~$16M

It also shows how AI tools like AuditFlow™ can:

  • Detect anomalies in GL data in minutes

  • Cut remediation time by up to 85%

  • Accelerate the monthly close by up to 7 days

This paper explains how automation provides strategic leverage for lean finance teams.

 

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