Weekly Outlook: Feb 9, 2026
The “Warsh Pivot” meets the AI Capex cycle. We analyze the bounce in Nvidia (NVDA), the energy security bid in XLE, and the defensive rotation into Consumer Staples (XLP) as markets find a floor.
Weekly, data-driven analysis of the key assets and macroeconomic themes shaping global markets, powered by the Complete Intelligence artificial intelligence platform, CI Markets.
The “Warsh Pivot” meets the AI Capex cycle. We analyze the bounce in Nvidia (NVDA), the energy security bid in XLE, and the defensive rotation into Consumer Staples (XLP) as markets find a floor.
The Warsh nomination has cooled the Gold and Bitcoin fever. We analyze the shift to “Stability” in Treasuries, the Alphabet (GOOGL) earnings bid, and the floor under Crude Oil.
A “Triple Shock” of China’s military purge, Japan’s bond crisis, and US unrest has triggered a Dollar breakdown. We analyze the rotation into Semiconductors (SMH), Silver (SLV), and Real Estate (XLRE).
Policy shock hits banks. CI Markets forecasts a bullish rotation into Nasdaq ($QQQ) and Consumer Staples ($XLP), with the US Dollar ($DXY) drifting moderately higher on safety flows.
The geopolitical dust has settled, but the data storm is just beginning. As Bank Earnings and CPI arrive, we forecast a rotation into Financials ($XLF), Small Caps ($IWM), and a return to Gold ($GC=F).
The US operation in Venezuela and a critical “Jobs Week” set the stage for a volatile 2026 open. We analyze the rotation into Energy Stocks (XLE), the Bitcoin (BTC) catch-up trade, and the pressure on Treasuries (TLT).