Weekly Outlook: Jan 5, 2026
The US operation in Venezuela and a critical “Jobs Week” set the stage for a volatile 2026 open. We analyze the rotation into Energy Stocks (XLE), the Bitcoin (BTC) catch-up trade, and the pressure on Treasuries (TLT).
Weekly, data-driven analysis of the key assets and macroeconomic themes shaping global markets, powered by the Complete Intelligence artificial intelligence platform, CI Markets.
The US operation in Venezuela and a critical “Jobs Week” set the stage for a volatile 2026 open. We analyze the rotation into Energy Stocks (XLE), the Bitcoin (BTC) catch-up trade, and the pressure on Treasuries (TLT).
Silver hit our targets faster than expected over the holiday weekend, proving the “Hard Asset” thesis is alive and well. But smart money doesn’t chase yesterday’s trade. As the dust settles on the metals volatility, we analyze the rotation into the next leg of the cycle: Crude Oil and Copper.
Our Dec 22, 2025 forecast shows the precious metals rally is widening. We analyze how the established strength in Gold (GC=F) and Silver (SLV) is now igniting a “catch-up” trade in Emerging Markets (EEM).
Our Nov 24, 2025 forecast shows that capital is no longer flowing indiscriminately; it is becoming highly selective, punishing assets tied to fading geopolitical risks while rewarding secular growth themes, looking at CL=F, IXIC & XLI.
Our Nov 24, 2025 forecast shows that capital is no longer flowing indiscriminately; it is becoming highly selective, punishing assets tied to fading geopolitical risks while rewarding secular growth themes, looking at CL=F, IXIC & XLI.
Our Nov 24, 2025 forecast shows that capital is no longer flowing indiscriminately; it is becoming highly selective, punishing assets tied to fading geopolitical risks while rewarding secular growth themes, looking at CL=F, IXIC & XLI.
Our Nov 17, 2025 forecast shows the market is rotating into the “Global Reflation Trade.” We analyze how a dovish Fed pivot could fuel a high-beta rally in Copper (HG=F), Silver (SLV), and Emerging Markets (EEM) as the next phase of the rally begins.
Our Nov 10, 2025 forecast explores a market “flying blind” amid a government data blackout and a tech-led correction. We analyze the cautious, negative trend in NVIDIA (NVDA) and the S&P 500 (GSPC) as investors take profits and seek a hedge in traditional safe havens like Gold (GC=F) while awaiting a clearer economic picture.
Our Nov 3, 2025 forecast explores a new “pro-trade” rally. We analyze how constructive geopolitical meetings are fueling a rise in Japanese equities (N225) and increasing demand for the US Dollar (DXY) for trade settlement, even as a separate supply shock pushes Crude Oil (CL=F) higher.
Our Oct 27, 2025 forecast explores a full-throated “risk-on” rally ignited by a cooler-than-expected inflation report. We analyze how expectations for a Fed rate cut are fueling a surge in tech (NDX) and pulling bond yields (TNX) lower, all while strong earnings from companies like Ford (F) support the bull case.
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