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Weekly Outlook: Dec 8, 2025

Weekly Outlook: Dec 8, 2025

Last week confirmed the “Great Divergence” we predicted, with the Nasdaq drifting higher while Crude Oil succumbed to geopolitical de-escalation pressure. Now, the market’s focus is narrowing further. Capital is rotating out of crowded macro trades and into assets driven by specific catalysts: corporate takeovers, physical weather events, and the next wave of capital expenditure. This week is about idiosyncratic risk: finding the assets that move regardless of what the Fed or the S&P 500 does.

The Sovereign Wealth Bid: Electronic Arts

CI Markets forecasts a move higher for Electronic Arts (EA). The stock is decoupling from the broader communication services sector, driven by intensifying speculation regarding a majority stake acquisition by Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF). This M&A narrative effectively places a “soft floor” under the price, transforming EA from a standard consumer discretionary holding into a special-situation arbitrage play. In a market searching for uncorrelated returns, a sovereign-backed bid provides a unique catalyst that is largely immune to domestic economic data.

The AI Infrastructure Play: Marvell Technology

CI Markets forecasts significant volatility followed by a rebound for Marvell Technology (MRVL). While Nvidia has dominated the headlines, capital is beginning to rotate toward the “second derivative” of the AI trade—infrastructure and networking. Marvell is emerging as the “dark horse” for 2026, essential for the data center build-out required to support the next generation of models. The forecast suggests initial pressure likely tied to margin scrutiny, but the strong projected rebound signals that investors are treating dips as buying opportunities to position for the long-term capex cycle.

The Winter Hedge: Natural Gas Futures

CI Markets forecasts upward pressure for Natural Gas Futures (NG=F). A sharp divergence has opened within the energy complex: while oil weakens on geopolitical peace talks, natural gas is surging on pure physical demand. Frigid temperatures across the U.S. combined with record export flows are creating a supply squeeze that politics cannot talk down. This asset serves as the perfect hedge for the week, offering exposure to “physical reality” in a market otherwise dominated by policy speculation.

Conclusion

The common thread this week is independence. Whether it is the weather driving Natural Gas, M&A rumors driving EA, or the long-term capex cycle driving Marvell, these assets are moving to their own rhythm. For investors, the play is to step back from the broad index “beta” and allocate toward these specific, event-driven stories that offer protection against general market chop.


The content presented in this note is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, financial, or trading advice. This analysis is generated from the output of Complete Intelligence’s proprietary artificial intelligence platform and does not constitute a personal recommendation. You should not base any investment decision solely on this material. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Complete Intelligence is not liable for any actions taken based on the information provided herein.

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Corporate Finance Blog

The Trust Gap: Why Corporate Finance is Poised to Lead the AI Revolution

The Trust Gap: Why Corporate Finance is Poised to Lead the AI Revolution

The narrative around Artificial Intelligence has been dominated by two extremes: utopian hype and dystopian fear. The newly released 2025 Edelman Trust Barometer Flash Poll confirms that we have reached a critical crossroads. While developing markets like China and Brazil are rushing to embrace AI, corporate users in the developed seem to want to hit the brakes.

In the United States, respondents are now nearly three times as likely to reject the growing use of AI as they are to embrace it (49% reject vs. 17% embrace).

For corporate leaders, this signals a dangerous disconnect. The technology is ready, but the workforce is resistant. However, buried within the data is a signal that Corporate Finance is uniquely positioned to bridge this gap. While the general population pulls back, the finance remains one of the few jobs where enthusiasm still outweighs rejection.

The Finance Exception

While the general population pulls back, finance stands out as a rare beacon of optimism. The Edelman data reveals that 43% of finance employees embrace AI, compared to only 25% who reject it.

This +18 point net enthusiasm gap is significant. In fact, finance is the only function aside from technology where enthusiastic adopters significantly outnumber rejecters. 

For corporate leaders, this statistic is a green light. It suggests that finance teams are not just ready for “Real AI“—they are actively waiting for it. The resistance often seen in other departments does not hold the same weight in finance, likely because the leap from structured financial models to AI-driven forecasting is an evolution, not a replacement.

The “Black Box” Problem

The resistance to AI isn’t primarily about the fear of automation; it is a crisis of trust. The Edelman report highlights that trust in AI lags significantly behind trust in the technology sector as a whole. People do not reject innovation; they reject what they do not understand.

This is where the concept of “Hype AI” fails and “Real AI” succeeds. Hype AI asks users to blindly trust a black box. Real AI – specifically the Judgmental AI we advocate for in corporate finance – invites users to interrogate the data.

Edelman’s survey proves this point: Knowledge and trust are the top drivers of enthusiasm. Simply feeling “informed” about AI boosts the likelihood of enthusiastic adoption by over 17%. When employees understand how the machine reached its conclusion, resistance fades.

Complexity as the Gateway to Trust

One of the most profound findings in the 2025 report is the relationship between complexity and trust. When AI is used to simplify complex ideas and processes, trust skyrockets.

In the US, employees who say AI helped them understand complex ideas were 37 points more likely to trust the technology (58% vs. 21%).

This validates the shift toward Judgmental AI in corporate finance. The goal is not to have an algorithm silently process a budget or audit a ledger in the background. The goal is to use AI to help a CFO easily understand where a variance occurred or what path a revenue or expense line is likely to take without the time consuming process of manual reforecasting.

When AI acts as a tool for clarity rather than a replacement for thought, finance can stay in control, not be displaced by algorithms.

Moving From “Replacement” to “Transformation”

The fear that AI adoption is stalled by job insecurity is a half-truth. The Edelman data shows that merely assuring employees their jobs are safe does surprisingly little to boost enthusiasm (26% embrace rate).

However, when the narrative shifts to job transformation – specifically, how AI helps an employee do their current job better – enthusiasm nearly doubles (43%).

This reinforces the strategy of Cognitive Collaboration. The most successful finance teams aren’t using AI to cut heads; they are using it to cut through the noise. They are deploying tools like AuditFlow and BudgetFlow not to automate the finance professional out of existence, but to automate the drudgery so the professional can focus on high-value judgment.

The Way Forward: Experience Over Mandates

The data is clear: You cannot mandate trust. In fact, among those who already distrust AI, 67% feel it is being “forced” upon them.

To bridge the trust gap, organizations must move beyond top-down directives and focus on personal, hands-on experience. “Personal experience” and “peer influence” are the only consistently trusted vectors for AI adoption.

For Corporate Finance, the path forward is practical, not theoretical. Stop talking about the “future of AI” and start demonstrating the present value of efficiency. When a finance team member sees personally that an AI tool can reduce a week-long budgeting cycle to a few hours while improving accuracy, they don’t just adopt the technology. They trust it.

Learn more about how AuditFlow and BudgetFlow can bring Cognitive Collaboration to your corporate finance organization:

More about the Edelman Trust Barometer here: https://www.edelman.com/trust/2025/trust-barometer/flash-poll-trust-artifical-intelligence


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Audio and Podcasts

Stock take today: Fed signals more cuts amid divisions, yen weakens against SGD

Stock take today: Fed signals more cuts amid divisions, yen weakens against SGD

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/listen/cna938-rewind/stock-take-today-fed-signals-more-cuts-amid-divisions-yen-weakens-against-sgd-5390821

Hairianto Diman and Syahida Othman speak with Tony Nash, Founder & CEO, Complete Intelligence

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Audio and Podcasts

Two More Fed Rate Cuts Likely in 2025 US Equities

Two More Fed Rate Cuts Likely in 2025

https://www.bfm.my/content/podcast/two-more-fed-rate-cuts-likely-in-2025

Tony Nash, CEO of Complete Intelligence, expects the US Feds to implement two more rate cuts before the end of the year. He cautions investors to be prudent when investing in AI technology stocks, noting that intracompany investments among these firms could lead to double-counted revenues.