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Donald Trump could be ‘laying groundwork for more tariffs’ by labelling China a currency manipulator

6 August 2019 | South China Morning Post

There is no direct US legal provision linking currency manipulation with more tariffs, but it does free the US president up to take more unilateral action. Other courses of action include a ban on US government procurement from China, an end to trade talks and an investigation by the International Monetary Fund

Tony Nash, the CEO of research firm Complete Intelligence, said that Trump is unlikely to change trajectory at this point and that the issue is “not about Chinese yuan in isolation”.

“You are talking about subsidies, non-tariff barriers, currency, everything, and everything [Trump’s] talking about is related to the well-being of American workers,” Nash said. “Trump has started bundling things that you cannot unbundle.”

Read the rest of the story in the South China Morning Post
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News Articles

Exclusive: Alibaba Eyes $10 Billion Hong Kong Listing

27 June 2019 | Caixin

Alibaba’s planned $10 billion Hong Kong IPO is “as much about accumulating dry powder for a potential China downturn“ as ”about diversifying any risk of U.S. authorities imposing stricter reporting requirements for Chinese companies,” says Tony Nash, CEO and Founder of Complete Intelligence.

Read the rest of the story in the Caixin Global Limited Post 
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Podcasts

Trade Wars

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26 May  2019

The trade war between the US and China is boiling up again. David takes a closer look at what’s happening between these two economic powerhouses with Tony Nash, founder of “Complete Intelligence.” David and Tony discuss ongoing government subsidies to Chinese companies and if the US has a “Plan B” for imports. Get more acquainted with the trade war and find out what it means for your portfolio.

Listen the whole podcast in Investing in Asia

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News Articles

China’s population could peak in 2023, here’s why that matters

03 May 2019

The world’s largest country by population could hit a ceiling six years earlier than expected, a new report predicts.

China’s population is likely to peak in 2023, according to a study by online database company Global Demographics and analytics firm Complete Intelligence.

Read the rest of the story in CNBC
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Editorials

Procreative destruction

02 May 2019 | Editorials

China can scale a 2023 population peak. A new study suggests the country’s populace may top out in about four years, earlier than expected. That’s disheartening for the likes of Mattel, Lego and education companies. But it also reflects a richer, better-educated nation. That, and a workforce bolstered by employees who stay on longer, may soften the blow.

Read the rest of the story in Reuters
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News Articles

China’s population to peak in 2023, five years earlier than official estimates, new research shows

02 May 2019
Findings suggest Beijing waited too long to abandon the one-child policy, founder of one of the firms behind the report says. China’s population will peak in 2023, five years earlier than official forecasts, according to a new report.
Read the rest of the story in South China Morning Post
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News Articles

US-China trade war could slash almost 1 million jobs from the US economy, new study says

08 February 2019
Figure could rise to more than 2 million should US President Donald Trump impose 25 per cent tariffs on all Chinese exports. The research from Washington-based consultancy Trade Partnership Worldwide has been paid for by the pro-free trade lobbying group Tariffs Hurt the Heartlands
Read the rest on the story in South China Morning Post