Weekly Outlook: March 9, 2026
A shock -92K jobs report collides with the Iran conflict. We analyze the geopolitical risk premium in Crude Oil (CL=F), the defensive rotation into Staples (XLP), and Microsoft’s (MSFT) safe-haven appeal.
Why “Black Swan” Forecasts are Ignored: A $150B Case Study
In January 2020, we issued a warning to a $150B manufacturing client: the cost of a primary good was projected to skyrocket by 500% within 90 days. They dismissed the forecast as an impossible outlier. By April, costs had actually risen by 700%. As geopolitical tensions with Iran re-introduce extreme volatility to the market, we explore the ‘Disbelief Paradox’—why the most accurate Black Swan forecasts are the ones leadership teams are least likely to believe.
Weekly Outlook: March 2, 2026
The weekend escalation in Iran has radically altered the market. We analyze the flight to safety in Silver (SLV), the energy security bid in XLE, and Nvidia’s (NVDA) decoupling as a sovereign asset.
Nvidia Restoring Faith In AI: Insights from BFM Malaysia
In this latest interview with BFM 89.9, Complete Intelligence CEO Tony Nash explains why Nvidia’s earnings may have restored confidence in artificial intelligence markets. As investors debate AI valuations, infrastructure spending, and sustainability of demand, Nash outlines what Nvidia’s results signal about the durability of the AI investment cycle.
Weekly Outlook: Feb 23, 2026
Major retailers are suing the US government for tariff relief. We analyze the rotation into Target (TGT), the strengthening “Tariff Wall” in the Dollar (DXY), and the inflationary pressure on Treasuries (TLT).
Weekly Outlook: Feb 16, 2026
As the Nasdaq cools and the Dow hits 50,000, we analyze the rotation into Walmart (WMT), the softening of Treasury yields (TNX), and the bullish momentum in Industrials (XLI).
Why the Dow is at 50k While Tech Lags: Insights from BFM Malaysia
Tony Nash, CEO of Complete Intelligence, joins BFM Malaysia to discuss the 2026 US jobs report, the Kevin Warsh Fed nomination, and why China’s auto deflation is reshaping global markets.
AI in Corporate Finance: The Ultimate 2026 CFO Guide
A practical CFO guide to AI in corporate finance, from continuous audit and rolling forecasts to governance, trust, and agentic workflows.
Weekly Outlook: Feb 9, 2026
The “Warsh Pivot” meets the AI Capex cycle. We analyze the bounce in Nvidia (NVDA), the energy security bid in XLE, and the defensive rotation into Consumer Staples (XLP) as markets find a floor.
Weekly Outlook: Feb 2, 2026
The Warsh nomination has cooled the Gold and Bitcoin fever. We analyze the shift to “Stability” in Treasuries, the Alphabet (GOOGL) earnings bid, and the floor under Crude Oil.