Fed “moderation”, windfall OAG taxes in UK, and building an exchange: The Week Ahead – 5 Dec 2022
In this Week Ahead, we discussed the Fed “moderating the pace…”, windfall oil and gas taxes in the UK, and what’s it like to build an exchange? With guests Josh Crumb, Albert Marko, and Tracy Shuchart.
Slower US rate hikes could help ‘buy time’, allow businesses to plan better
The United States Federal Reserve’s plan to ease its pace of interest rate hikes as soon as December would bring some relief for markets concerned about the central bank overtightening too quickly, Mr Tony Nash, founder and chief executive of data analytics firm Complete Intelligence, told CNA’s Asia First.
China Protest context, changes, and market risks: Week Ahead Special Episode
In this special Week Ahead episode, we talked about: Protest Context – Spark and prairie fire, will anything change? And the risks and market impact. With Dexter Roberts, Isaac Stonefish, Albert Marko, and Tony Nash.
Softer Fed Tone But Don’t Get Too Excited
The released Fed minutes show that most officials are backing a slower pace of interest rate hikes. Markets reacted positively but this is false optimism as the terminal Fed Funds Rate may eventually be higher. The 3Q reporting in the US is also coming to a close and 75% of corporates experienced downgrade in earnings. Have the cut in earnings by analysts been adequate or will there be further downside, with 2023 outlook still uncertain?
Liquidity Drain and QT, Copper Gap, & Retail and the US Consumer w/ Daniel Lacalle
There are a few key themes we’re going to look at today. First is liquidity drain and quantitative tightening, or QT. We’ll then look at copper gap, meaning we don’t really have enough copper over the next ten years to fill the needs of EVs and other things. We’ve had some earnings reports for retail over the past couple weeks.
FTX, crude & crypto, CPI & inflation: The Week Ahead – 14 Nov 2022
We talk about FTX and why it happened. FTX transferred about $8 billion of customer deposits and they lost it. There was a desperate attempt to merge with Binance. That didn’t happen. FTX filed Chapter 11 on Friday. We also saw some selling in crude markets as FTX collapsed. The rate of rise of CPI slowed, and it feels like it overrode the FTX worries. Have we’ve conquered inflation?
US midterms: An opportunity for voters to choose their economic future
The midterms decide who controls Congress as well as state legislatures and governor’s offices. Billions of US dollars are being spent on the election campaign adverts that voters will be seeing and hearing in the run-up to the elections – but is it worth the investment? And has the economic situation in the US overshadowed the overturning of Roe v Wade?
Growing out of stagflation, Fed operating impact & Brazil Risk: The Week Ahead – 7 Nov 2022
Can we grow out of this Stagflationary muddle? We also talked about the impact of the whiplash in interest rates on operators, on the people who run companies and how they run those companies in this type of environment. And then finally, Brazil. We’ve had a big political change in Brazil and it seems more meaningful than we’re being kind of told.
China risks, tech earnings, and crude stockpiling: The Week Ahead – 31 Oct 2022
How are foreign companies dealing with the political changes in China? Or what should they be paying attention to? On the risk side, we’re looking at tech earnings and the impact that tech earnings will have on other earnings and headcount reductions and other things over the next few months. And we’re also looking at crude oil inventories and refined product inventories. They’re way below averages. And we want to hear from Tracy as to what’s going on.
Nasdaq Breaks 3-Day Winning Streak
Investors were not impressed by results from Meta and Alphabet leading to a sell-off in tech stocks on Wall Street. We speak to Tony Nash, CEO of Complete Intelligence, to find out how results from Apple and Amazon set to come out soon might impact overall market sentiment.